IEHI Feed: The Hedge Fund Implode-o-Meter http://implode-explode.com/ Tracking the many faces of the global credit implosion. en-us iehi-feed-62807 Fri, 18 Aug 2017 03:26:21 GMT Investors sell stocks, dollar on fears Trump agenda is foundering http://hf-implode.com/viewnews/2017-08-17_InvestorssellstocksdollaronfearsTrumpagendaisfoundering.html Asian stock investors joined a global retreat from riskier assets on Friday and the dollar wavered on growing doubts about U.S. President Donald Trump's ability to deliver his economic agenda.

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Concerns have grown over Trump's ability to push through his economic goals, such as tax cuts and infrastructure spending, following the exodus of executives from two prominent business councils in reaction to his response to clashes last weekend in Charlottesville, Virginia.

"Diminishing West Wing support from both business and political allies will continue to abrade investors' confidence in President Trump's economic agenda," Stephen Innes, head of Asia Pacific trading at OANDA in Singapore.

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iehi-feed-62804 Thu, 17 Aug 2017 18:41:25 GMT Alibaba earnings have the Chinese company closing the gap with Amazon http://hf-implode.com/viewnews/2017-08-17_AlibabaearningshavetheChinesecompanyclosingthegapwithAmazon.html iehi-feed-62803 Thu, 17 Aug 2017 18:34:00 GMT Wall Street Extends Losses on Trump Policy Worries http://hf-implode.com/viewnews/2017-08-17_WallStreetExtendsLossesonTrumpPolicyWorries.html iehi-feed-62802 Thu, 17 Aug 2017 17:03:15 GMT Central banks: a sausage based conundrum http://hf-implode.com/viewnews/2017-08-17_Centralbanksasausagebasedconundrum.html iehi-feed-62801 Thu, 17 Aug 2017 16:53:09 GMT Fed Flummoxed by Broken Jobs-Inflation Link http://hf-implode.com/viewnews/2017-08-17_FedFlummoxedbyBrokenJobsInflationLink.html Minutes of the Federal Open Market Committee's July meeting show a growing debate about inflation and why it's retreating, instead of advancing, in the face of 4.3 percent unemployment. The central bank is puzzled that prices have been soft for several months.

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Policy makers basically have until December to either see inflation head back toward their 2 percent target or figure out how to respond if it doesn't behave... Delaying until December gives officials at least four more months of inflation data. Most still see it returning to its target...

The account of the July conclave even suggested some heretical questioning of the link between very low unemployment and wages and inflation. The majority are still wedded to the traditional models.

See also this article. It's hard to believe the Fed doesn't really understand that wages are sluggish and jobs are non-full-time (even though headline unemployment is low) -- or that the stagflationary 70s and low-inflation 90s prove that the economy is often not in "wage-price spiral mode". Rather, it seems more likely that the Fed is just "boxed in", and trying to figure out what it can plausibly (and politically) do to not crash the market too hard.

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iehi-feed-62800 Wed, 16 Aug 2017 20:28:22 GMT The Shortest Commute: Where Co-Working and Co-Living Collide http://hf-implode.com/viewnews/2017-08-16_TheShortestCommuteWhereCoWorkingandCoLivingCollide.html ... his one-bedroom at WeLive, a co-living residence on Wall Street, is in the same 26-story building as his office at WeWork, a co-working space. Mr. Nguyen takes many of his meals at Westville, Fuku or Milk Bar--the trendy eateries on the building's ground floor. He does his laundry in the building. He goes to parties in the building. He attends movie nights in the building. "I'm literally here probably 23 hours of the day," he says.

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With its wide-plank pine flooring and industrial feel, WeLive looks just like WeWork--right down to the lounges where people can spin Nirvana LPs on old-school turntables. Like his office, the apartment came furnished--and equipped with pots, pans, books, and prints, even a flashlight. Mr. Nguyen enjoys fresh sheets, towels and maid service. There is free cappuccino in the lobby and free arcade games in the laundry room. The building even provides a social life, with activities ranging from Pilates to community dinners.

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The rush is on to serve folks like Mr. Nguyen, who wish to dispense with their commute. Facebook, for example, is building on-campus housing for employees. Here in New York, developers looking to lure freelancers and entrepreneurs are adding shared office spaces to new condo and rental projects. A 714-unit luxury rental in Boerum Hill, Brooklyn--named 33 Bond Street--for example, promises to "redefine the notion of work-life balance" with HomeWork, an in-house co-working space with its own coffee bar.

WeWork, meanwhile, says only a "handful" of residents at its Wall Street location also work in the building. But roughly 15% work at one of the 41 other WeWork locations in the city, including five within walking distance of the WeLive.

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iehi-feed-62798 Wed, 16 Aug 2017 19:28:41 GMT Dollar erases gains after Trump announces business council disbanding http://hf-implode.com/viewnews/2017-08-16_DollarerasesgainsafterTrumpannouncesbusinesscouncildisbanding.html iehi-feed-62797 Wed, 16 Aug 2017 19:26:17 GMT Trump's business advisory councils disband as chief executives repudiate president over white-supremacist apologetics http://hf-implode.com/viewnews/2017-08-16_Trumpsbusinessadvisorycouncilsdisbandaschiefexecutivesrepudiatep.html Trump announced the disbanding of the two councils -- the Strategy & Policy Forum and the Manufacturing Council, which hosted many of the top corporate leaders in America -- amid a growing uproar by chief executives furious over Trump's decision to equate the actions of white supremacists and protesters in remarks Tuesday at Trump Tower.

But those groups had already decided to dissolve on their own earlier in the day, a person familiar with the process said. JP Morgan Chase chief executive Jamie Dimon, a member of the "Strategy & Policy Forum," told employees in a note on Wednesday that his group decided to disband following Trump's bizarre press conference on Tuesday, in which he appeared to show sympathy for some of the people who marched alongside the neo-Nazis and white supremacists in Charlottesville.

They didn't QUIT, Trump FIRED them! All hail Master-Race God-Emperor Trump!

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iehi-feed-62796 Wed, 16 Aug 2017 16:13:05 GMT Dow 30,000, Not If Demographics Have Anything To Say About It http://hf-implode.com/viewnews/2017-08-16_Dow30000NotIfDemographicsHaveAnythingToSayAboutIt.html iehi-feed-62795 Wed, 16 Aug 2017 14:49:37 GMT U.S. Stock Buybacks Are Plunging http://hf-implode.com/viewnews/2017-08-16_USStockBuybacksArePlunging.html iehi-feed-62794 Wed, 16 Aug 2017 14:48:18 GMT World's biggest banks face £264bn bill for poor conduct http://hf-implode.com/viewnews/2017-08-16_Worldsbiggestbanksface264bnbillforpoorconduct.html Fines, legal bills and the cost of compensating mistreated customers reached £264bn for 20 of the world's biggest banks over the five years to 2016, according to new research that raises doubts about efforts by the major financial services players to restore trust in the sector.

This figure is higher than in the previous five-year period -- when the costs amounted to £252bn -- and is up 32% on the period 2008-12, the first time the data was collated by the CCP Research Foundation, one of the few bodies that analyses the "conduct costs" of banks.''

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iehi-feed-62793 Wed, 16 Aug 2017 14:43:13 GMT ‘Deep' Subprime Car Loans Hit Crisis-Era Milestone http://hf-implode.com/viewnews/2017-08-16_DeepSubprimeCarLoansHitCrisisEraMilestone.html iehi-feed-62792 Wed, 16 Aug 2017 14:40:07 GMT Inequality and "The Rigged System": Democrats Search For a New Message http://hf-implode.com/viewnews/2017-08-16_InequalityandTheRiggedSystemDemocratsSearchForaNewMessage.html The financial crisis and ensuing recession scrambled Americans' fears and desires, leaving an electorate defined by some variety of anger: at stagnant paychecks, at bank bailouts and government spending, at police shootings of blacks and at women's lower wages; anger against a "rigged system." Unfortunately for the Democratic Party -- the party of government -- most voters tend to think government is doing the rigging.

The most inspiring campaigners, Senator Sanders on the left and Donald J. Trump on the right, did not convince voters of the wisdom of carefully honed policy prescriptions. They ran on an apocalyptic vision of America under siege, with clear enemies in sight. Mr. Trump, an interloper of scant ideological baggage who took over a Republican Party at least as clueless as Democrats about voters' preoccupations, offered the more powerful apocalypse.

The question for Democrats looking for a path out of the wilderness -- for Mr. Cowan and Senator Sanders; for Senator Warren and the Senate minority leader, Chuck Schumer, who hopes to woo voters by offering a "Better Deal" -- is whether they can appeal to voters still angry because their lives, their aspirations and their sense of self have been derailed over the last few years.

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To recapture the presidency, Democrats must recover the support of the middle class -- people in families earning $50,000 to $150,000, whose vote went to Mr. Trump. Three-quarters of voters in swing states are white, according to data from the Cook Political Report presented by Third Way. Mr. Trump won white voters by 21 percentage points.

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Joan C. Williams, a professor at the University of California Hastings College of the Law who this year published "White Working Class: Overcoming Class Cluelessness in America," a critique of liberals' inability to understand this constituency, argues Democrats can offer an inclusive platform that appeals to all Democratic constituencies, like the proposal presented by Senator Schumer focused on jobs.

... Professor Williams argues against a move to a Democratic center that is friendly toward Wall Street and favors trade agreements, "two of the reasons that the working class is so done with the Democratic Party."

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iehi-feed-62791 Wed, 16 Aug 2017 00:47:21 GMT Ten years after the crash, there's barely suppressed civil war in Britain http://hf-implode.com/viewnews/2017-08-15_TenyearsafterthecrashtheresbarelysuppressedcivilwarinBritain.html One truism of this era is that the average British worker earns less after inflation than they did when RBS nearly died. Most of us have seen not a recovery, but a ripping up of our social contract -- so that over 7 million Britons are now in precarious employment. But the highest earners are way ahead of where they were in 2008. Finance-sector bonuses are as generous as they were during the boom, while a bad year for the average FTSE boss is one in which he or she pulls in a mere £4.53m.

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The banks got bailed out. Their bosses still get paid out. The rest of us get austerity. Whatever technical reforms have followed on from the crash, the economic and business model that created it remains intact. We could have used the nationalised banks to direct credit to strategic industries and regions; instead, Labour and the Tories insisted on treating them as if they were still private sector industries. We could have used the crash to make Britain a far more equal and democratic society. Instead, the UK is still grossly unequal.

And so we remain reliant on debt -- aptly termed "the raw material for bubbles and crashes" by Daniel Mügge at the University of Amsterdam. According to the Bank for International Settlements, the UK is far deeper in the red now than it was when Northern Rock collapsed. Government debt has shot up under the Conservatives, but so too has household borrowing. Were the UK to crash again, its government no longer has the political capital nor the fiscal headroom to save the financial system. And with interest rates scraping along the bottom, the Bank of England has barely any firepower left. Ten years of political fudge and failed austerity has left Britain's state machinery tapped out.

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iehi-feed-62789 Wed, 16 Aug 2017 00:10:11 GMT Bank Capital Ratios -- Bolstered After Crisis -- Begin Shrinking Once Again http://hf-implode.com/viewnews/2017-08-15_BankCapitalRatiosBolsteredAfterCrisisBeginShrinkingOnceAgain.html After the crisis, regulators pushed banks to get stronger. The biggest U.S. institutions more than doubled their tangible common equity ratios -- to an average of about 8 percent of assets (or, by international accounting standards, closer to 6 percent of assets). That's an achievement, and better than in Europe, but the starting point was so low that they still fall short of what's needed. Researchers at the Minneapolis Fed, for example, estimate that capital would have to more than double again to bring the risk of bailouts down to an acceptable level.

Yet the political will to push for more equity is waning, as the plateau at the end of the chart indicates. After its latest round of stress tests in June, the Fed allowed banks to reward shareholders with billions of dollars in dividends and stock buybacks. Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin, apparently with President Donald Trump's backing, has made it clear he'd like to ease capital requirements. The cycle is turning.

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iehi-feed-62788 Wed, 16 Aug 2017 00:05:12 GMT Rogoff, Orwell and Kafka http://hf-implode.com/viewnews/2017-08-15_RogoffOrwellandKafka.html iehi-feed-62787 Tue, 15 Aug 2017 22:57:11 GMT "Ignorance, indifference or utter disregard of the law" - Kushner Companies hit with rent-stabilization lawsuit in Brooklyn Heights http://hf-implode.com/viewnews/2017-08-15_IgnoranceindifferenceorutterdisregardofthelawKushnerCompanieshit.html iehi-feed-62786 Tue, 15 Aug 2017 21:52:38 GMT Trump Financial Regulatory Rollback Proceeds http://hf-implode.com/viewnews/2017-08-15_TrumpFinancialRegulatoryRollbackProceeds.html iehi-feed-62784 Tue, 15 Aug 2017 19:39:21 GMT Is FOMO (Fear of Missing Out) Driving Up Consumer Debt? http://hf-implode.com/viewnews/2017-08-15_IsFOMOFearofMissingOutDrivingUpConsumerDebt.html iehi-feed-62782 Tue, 15 Aug 2017 15:46:06 GMT The Next Tech Crash Could Delay Your Retirement By A Decade http://hf-implode.com/viewnews/2017-08-15_TheNextTechCrashCouldDelayYourRetirementByADecade.html DOT COM Bubble Do-Over?.]]>